top of page

UK Economy ‘Flatlines’ January Ahead Of Iran War



The UK economy unexpectedly failed to grow in January, ahead of the outbreak of the Iran war. Official figures revealed zero growth for the month – a much weaker figure than had been predicted and followed sluggish growth of 0.1% in December.


The Office for National Statistics (ONS) described the figures as "subdued" and industry analysts said the economy was ‘flatlining’.


The figures cover a period before the outbreak of Middle East conflict in Iran, which has caused a major energy price shock that could have a ripple effect on economies around the world.


In response to the figures, Chancellor Rachel Reeves said:

"Our economic plan is the right one, but I know there is more to do.”

Analytics expert Raj Abrol, CEO, Galytix said:

“When risk and uncertainty are at the top of the economic agenda, financial stagnation will inevitably become the new normal. In an increasingly complex world, mastering AI to navigate investments and assess market volatility will be an essential step forward, allowing organisations to manage and deploy capital as well as planning future investments and building accurate risk profiles.”

Meanwhile Kenny MacAulay, CEO of Acting Office, a software platform for accounting practices added:

“Businesses are facing the perfect storm of soaring hiring costs due to NI increases, AI disruption and geopolitical uncertainty, all of which have seen growth flatline. In uncertain times, firms will need a radical rethink of traditional business models, centralising tech systems to reduce costs and operate more effectively."

"The fear for many is that this is just the beginning of an economic cliff edge and the government will have to move quickly to reassure nervous business owners that it has their back in difficult times.”


The ONS said the services sector showed no growth in January, while production fell by 0.1%. Meanwhile the construction sector grew by 0.2%.


In the three months to January, a less volatile measure in comparison to the monthly numbers, GDP grew by 0.2% - up from 0.1% in the three months to December.


Most Read

One Million Tins Of Baked Beans Delivered To Felix To Help Tackle UK Hunger

One Million Tins Of Baked Beans Delivered To Felix To Help Tackle UK Hunger

One million tins of baked beans will be produced for people facing food insecurity this summer through an innovative partnership between Princes, Waitrose, Alliance Food Sourcing (AFS), and Felix (formerly The Felix Project and FareShare).

Black Talent Awards Unveils 2026 Finalists

Black Talent Awards Unveils 2026 Finalists

The Black Talent Awards (BTA) has unveiled its 2026 finalists as the national platform prepares to mark its fifth anniversary, celebrating five years of recognising Black professional achievement, leadership, entrepreneurship and impact across the UK.

Rising Costs And Work-Life Balance Are Driving Britain’s Home Business Boom

Rising Costs And Work-Life Balance Are Driving Britain’s Home Business Boom

New research from garden building specialists Dunster House explored the booming backyard business economy, with surveying exclusively people who operate from their garden or home.

Categories

  • Mar 16
  • 2 min read


The UK economy unexpectedly failed to grow in January, ahead of the outbreak of the Iran war. Official figures revealed zero growth for the month – a much weaker figure than had been predicted and followed sluggish growth of 0.1% in December.


The Office for National Statistics (ONS) described the figures as "subdued" and industry analysts said the economy was ‘flatlining’.


The figures cover a period before the outbreak of Middle East conflict in Iran, which has caused a major energy price shock that could have a ripple effect on economies around the world.


In response to the figures, Chancellor Rachel Reeves said:

"Our economic plan is the right one, but I know there is more to do.”

Analytics expert Raj Abrol, CEO, Galytix said:

“When risk and uncertainty are at the top of the economic agenda, financial stagnation will inevitably become the new normal. In an increasingly complex world, mastering AI to navigate investments and assess market volatility will be an essential step forward, allowing organisations to manage and deploy capital as well as planning future investments and building accurate risk profiles.”

Meanwhile Kenny MacAulay, CEO of Acting Office, a software platform for accounting practices added:

“Businesses are facing the perfect storm of soaring hiring costs due to NI increases, AI disruption and geopolitical uncertainty, all of which have seen growth flatline. In uncertain times, firms will need a radical rethink of traditional business models, centralising tech systems to reduce costs and operate more effectively."

"The fear for many is that this is just the beginning of an economic cliff edge and the government will have to move quickly to reassure nervous business owners that it has their back in difficult times.”


The ONS said the services sector showed no growth in January, while production fell by 0.1%. Meanwhile the construction sector grew by 0.2%.


In the three months to January, a less volatile measure in comparison to the monthly numbers, GDP grew by 0.2% - up from 0.1% in the three months to December.


Most Read

One Million Tins Of Baked Beans Delivered To Felix To Help Tackle UK Hunger

One Million Tins Of Baked Beans Delivered To Felix To Help Tackle UK Hunger

One million tins of baked beans will be produced for people facing food insecurity this summer through an innovative partnership between Princes, Waitrose, Alliance Food Sourcing (AFS), and Felix (formerly The Felix Project and FareShare).

Black Talent Awards Unveils 2026 Finalists

Black Talent Awards Unveils 2026 Finalists

The Black Talent Awards (BTA) has unveiled its 2026 finalists as the national platform prepares to mark its fifth anniversary, celebrating five years of recognising Black professional achievement, leadership, entrepreneurship and impact across the UK.

Rising Costs And Work-Life Balance Are Driving Britain’s Home Business Boom

Rising Costs And Work-Life Balance Are Driving Britain’s Home Business Boom

New research from garden building specialists Dunster House explored the booming backyard business economy, with surveying exclusively people who operate from their garden or home.

Categories

Rising Costs And Work-Life Balance Are Driving Britain’s Home Business Boom

Rising Costs And Work-Life Balance Are Driving Britain’s Home Business Boom

New research from garden building specialists Dunster House explored the booming backyard business economy, with surveying exclusively people who operate from their garden or home.

Zenith Coins Strike Gold With Global Growth

Zenith Coins Strike Gold With Global Growth

A Prestwick business supplying commemorative coins to some of the world's biggest sporting organisations is continuing to expand after receiving support from Business Gateway.

Perthshire Social Enterprise Aims To Feed 100,000 People This Year

Perthshire Social Enterprise Aims To Feed 100,000 People This Year

A Perthshire farmer feeding families in need with surplus deer is aiming to reach 100,000 people this year, after receiving support from Business Gateway.

Recent Posts

bottom of page